This is the program for the 2010 Joint Statistical Meetings in Vancouver, British Columbia.

Abstract Details

Activity Number: 476
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 4, 2010 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Risk Analysis
Abstract - #308822
Title: Variable Selection in Discrete Choice Models
Author(s): Yoshinori Kawasaki*+ and Masao Ueki
Companies: The Institute of Statistical Mathematics and Yamagata University
Address: 10-3 Midori-cho, Tachikawa, Tokyo, International, 1908562, Japan
Keywords: variable selection ; intereaction ; contingency table ; pruning ; data mining
Abstract:

To increase the predictive accuracy of a discrete choice model, it is often helpful to introduce arbitrary order of interactions in addition to main effect. However, a simple-minded generation of interactions suffers from combinatorial explosion, and the mixture of continuous and categorical variables even makes it difficult to define interaction itself. This paper starts with presenting a reasonable way to choose the promising interactions based on contingency table analysis. The proposed method is illustrated with an application to a medical data. In an application to credit scoring, we compare the performance of competing methods with other data mining tools such as CART-logit.


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