This is the program for the 2010 Joint Statistical Meetings in Vancouver, British Columbia.

Abstract Details

Activity Number: 520
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 4, 2010 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #308449
Title: Online Detection of Outliers and Structural Breaks
Author(s): Giovanni Petris*+
Companies: University of Arkansas
Address: 1, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR, 72701,
Keywords: Outlier detection ; Sequential Monte Carlo ; Structural Time Series ; Structural Breaks
Abstract:

We propose a Bayesian version of the classical Structural Time Series model which is particularly well-suited to detect outliers or structural breaks -- in any of the unobserved components -- in a time series. Standard MCMC methods can be used for retrospective analysis. Sequential Monte Carlo methods for online inference will be illustrated.


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