This is the program for the 2010 Joint Statistical Meetings in Vancouver, British Columbia.

Abstract Details

Activity Number: 686
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 5, 2010 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Social Statistics Section
Abstract - #307010
Title: Simulating the Characteristics of Populations at the Small-Area Level: New Validation Techniques for a Spatial Microsimulation Model in Australia
Author(s): Azizur Rahman*+ and Ann Harding and Robert Tanton and Shuangzhe Liu
Companies: University of Canberra and National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling and National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling and National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling
Address: NATSEM, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia
Keywords: housing stress ; reweighting ; small area estimation ; spatial microdata ; statistical significance test
Abstract:

These days spatial microsimulation modelling plays a vital role in policy analysis for small areas. Most developed countries are utilising these tools in more effective ways to make knowledgeable decisions on major policy issues at local levels. However building an appropriate model is very difficult for many reasons. For example, the creation of reliable spatial microdata is still challenging. In addition there has not been much research on testing statistical significance of the model outputs yet, and deriving estimates of how reliable these outputs may be. This paper deals with the spatial microsimulation model building procedure for estimating small area housing stress in Australia. It also establishes new ways to test the statistical significance of the model estimates.


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