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Activity Number: 414
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 5, 2009 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #303362
Title: Parameter Estimation for General State-Space Models: A Review
Author(s): Jonathan R. Stroud*+
Companies: The George Washington University
Address: 2140 Pennsylvania Ave., NW, Washington, DC, 20052,
Keywords: particle filter ; Bayesian ; maximum likelihood ; stochastic volatility ; jumps ; spatio-temporal
Abstract:

The particle filter is a powerful method for sequential state estimation in general state-space models. However, parameter estimation within the particle filter remains an unsolved problem. This talk compares the existing approaches for sequential parameter estimation in state-space models. We consider maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches, and compare the generality and computational efficiency of these algorithms. Using a stochastic volatility jump-diffusion model and a high-dimensional spatio-temporal model, we compare the strengths and weaknesses of each approach. We conclude with some new ideas for parameter learning algorithms that scale to higher-dimensional systems.


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