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Activity Number: 272
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 4, 2009 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Sports
Abstract - #305754
Title: Odds Ratio Models in Sports
Author(s): Carl N. Morris*+
Companies: Harvard University
Address: Dept Statistics, Cambridge, MA, 02138,
Keywords: Odds ; Bill James' Pythagorean ; baseball ; tennis
Abstract:

Odds ratios and logistic models arise naturally in paired comparison settings. That makes them very useful in sports to explain and predict winning and other successes and failures. These models may emerge from theoretical considerations in some sports. Applications concern baseball (e.g. Bill James' "Pythagorean" formula), basketball, and tennis, and how different estimates of model parameters can stem from different subsets of the data. Collateral issues include developing standard deviations for such models.


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