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Activity Number: 382
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 4, 2009 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Risk Analysis
Abstract - #305477
Title: The Use of Semiparametric Regression in Automobile Insurance Pricing
Author(s): Wehrli E. Perez Caicer*+
Companies: Ecuadorean Statistical Society
Address: Sauces 9 Manzana 519 Villa 13, Guayaquil, , Ecuador
Keywords: semiparametric ; regression ; mixed model ; smoothing ; insurance ; splines
Abstract:

Regression models are a useful type of variable predictions that can be used for automobile insurance pricing calculations. Due to the frequent presence of non-linear relations, the use of semi parametric regression can improve the pricing prediction. In this presentation we show the results in a table as function of automobile and policy-holders variables. Our proposed methodology consists of a nonparametric smoothing curve fitted using penalized splines, together with a mixed model which have been useful in solving the problem. The predictions are important because they complete the pricing process. That is, when a new client reports inputs which have not been tabulated by the insurance company before, a price for the insurance cost can be found through the model.


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