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Activity Number:
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590
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Type:
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Topic Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Thursday, August 6, 2009 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
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| Abstract - #305193 |
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Title:
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Periodic Spatio-Temporal Improvised Explosive Device Attack Pattern Analysis
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Author(s):
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Matthew Benigni*+ and Reinhard Furrer
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Companies:
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U.S. Military Academy and Colorado School of Mines
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Address:
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Department of Mathematical Sciences, West Point, NY, 10996,
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Keywords:
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Spatio-Temporal ; Cox Process ; Risk Assesment ; Periodic ; Improvised Explosive Device
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Abstract:
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Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) are the number one killer of coalition combat forces in the Iraq Theater of Operations (ITO). A unique characteristic of this terrain is that attacks happen almost exclusively on roads. This allows us to reduce location to one dimension and consider historical attacks to quantify periodic, spatio-temporal clusters. The end result for a set of specified routes is inhomogeneous, bi-variate Poisson rate functions that aid the patrol leader in his or her route selection and/or intelligence preparation of the battlefield.
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