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Activity Number: 59
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, August 2, 2009 : 4:00 PM to 5:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Abstract - #304635
Title: Joint Inference for Multivariate Climate Model Data
Author(s): Steven Geinitz*+ and Reinhard Furrer
Companies: Colorado School of Mines and Colorado School of Mines
Address: , , ,
Keywords: high dimensionality ; Gaussian Markov random fields ; Bayesian modeling ; FDR ; multiple comparison procedures
Abstract:

Many problems in the earth, energy, and environmental sciences involve the analysis of large quantities of data, where there is a necessary interest in each individual element. The data in these problems are often subject to various types of structure and, in particular, strong dependence. However, there is a need for inferential methods in this area in order to quantitatively interpret results over regions for scientists and policymakers. Typical multiple comparison procedures often require a compromise on the structure of the data, and/or on an accepted error rate. Thus, the primary goal is joint inference, where 'joint' is taken to be in the spatial as well as variable context. Placing the data in a (hierarchical) model with a Gaussian Markov random field component, we use the structural characteristics of the data to derive joint inference.


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