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Activity Number: 515
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 5, 2009 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economic Statistics Section
Abstract - #304458
Title: Recursive Estimation Using Combined Optimal Estimating Functions
Author(s): Melody Ghahramani*+ and Aerambamoorthy Thavaneswaran
Companies: University of Winnipeg and University of Manitoba
Address: , Winnipeg, MB, R3B 2E9, Canada
Keywords: recursive ; combined estimating functions ; nonlinear time series ; GARCH ; information ; doubly stochastic
Abstract:

In this talk, we discuss combining estimating functions for the parameter of discrete time stochastic processes where the conditional mean and the conditional variance depend on the same parameter with applications to volatility models. The optimal combined estimating function for the parameter is shown to contain more Godambe information than each of the component estimating functions. As an application, nonlinear recursive estimation of the parameter in nonlinear time series models such as autoregressive processes with GARCH errors, based on the optimal combined estimating function is derived. Pre-filtered optimal estimation of the parameter of doubly stochastic time series based on the optimal combined estimating function will also be discussed.


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