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Activity Number: 202
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 3, 2009 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #304280
Title: A Short Note on Bayesian Analysis of Dynamic Probit Models
Author(s): Minje Sung*+ and Refik Soyer
Companies: Ajou University and The George Washington University
Address: San 5, Woncheon-dong, Suwon, International, 443-749, Korea
Keywords: Markov models ; Bayesian inference ; longitudinal data ; dynamic linear models ; model selection
Abstract:

In this talk we consider a dynamic probit model where the coefficients follow a first-order Markov process. We present an exact Gibbs sampler for Bayesian analysis of the model using the data augmentation approach of Albert and Chib (1993) and the forward filtering backward sampling algorithm of Fruhwirth-Schnatter (1994) for dynamic linear models. We discuss how our approach can be used for probit based Markov regression models.


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