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Activity Number: 263
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 4, 2009 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Health Policy Statistics
Abstract - #304174
Title: Data-Mining Techniques for Longitudinal Naturalistic Data
Author(s): Anthony Zagar*+ and Robert Obenchain
Companies: Eli Lilly and Company and Risk Benefit Statistics LLC
Address: Lilly Corporate Center, Indianapolis, IN, 46285,
Keywords: latent classes ; prognostic scores ; longitudal data ; naturalistic data ; propensity scores ; unsupervised methods
Abstract:

We classify (cluster) patient Y-response trajectories (treatment progression patterns) that are associated with patient X-characteristics such as alternative treatment choices, comorbidities and baseline disease severity. "Unsupervised" approaches to analysis of observational data cluster patients in X-space (McClellan, McNeil & Newhouse 1994); the earlier "supervised" approaches form strata of patients matched on propensity score (estimated treatment fraction) predicted by patient X-characteristics (Rosenbaum & Rubin 1983, 1984.) Our classes of outcome Y-trajectories (latent growth profiles) expedite estimation of longitudinal prognostic scores (Hansen 2008). We focus on differences in Y- trajectories between treated and control patients with otherwise similar X-characteristics, rather than on shape differences among class profiles, and discuss an example where this can be useful.


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