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Activity Number: 529
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 5, 2009 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #304153
Title: Sigmoid Curves and a Case for Close-to-Linear Nonlinear Models
Author(s): Charles Tan*+ and Ying Su
Companies: Merck Research Laboratories and Merck Research Laboratories
Address: , , ,
Keywords: Close-to-linear ; Curvature ; Emax model ; Hill equation ; Nonlinear regression ; Sigmoid curve
Abstract:

Sigmoid curve is prevalent in biological sciences: from bioassay, to dose-response or growth curve. We compare three typical models: (4P) logistic, (4P) Gompertz, and Richards (aka "5PL") models. We also propose a new, flexible, model which is a 5P extension of the Gompertz curve. Nonlinearity with respect to the parameters is not only the defining characteristic of a nonlinear model, but the degree of which is also central to the fidelity of the first order approximations that is the basis of standard statistical treatment. Close-to-linear nonlinear models are more conductive to typical statistical inference and numerical fitting. We develop several new measures to quantify the concept of close-to-linear. We demonstrate in a case study that logistic, Gompertz, and the new models are close-to-linear, while Richards model is not.


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