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Activity Number: 222
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 3, 2009 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Biometrics Section
Abstract - #304130
Title: Comparison of Prediction Interval Methods for a One-Way Random Effects Model
Author(s): Jamie M. Baldwin*+ and Ramon Littell
Companies: Info Tech, Inc. and University of Florida
Address: 5700 SW 34th Ave, Gainesville, FL, 32608,
Keywords: linear mixed models ; EBLUPs ; prediction interval
Abstract:

Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Predictors (EBLUPs) for analyzing Linear Mixed Models (LMMs) are widely used, yet the best way to evaluate the precision of the EBLUPs is not generally understood. We study this issue in the context of formulating a prediction interval for the realized value of a random effect in the balanced one-way random effects model. Four prediction intervals are compared in a Monte Carlo simulation study to determine which method has the most accurate coverage rate. While the structure of the four methods compared is similar, the disparity comes in the impact of the parameterization, and the estimate of the standard error which subsequently impacts the degrees of freedom. While two of the methods are currently available in SAS, the other methods studied often outperform the currently available methods.


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