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Activity Number: 599
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 6, 2009 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #304018
Title: An Assessment of Several Trial-Level Surrogacy Measures in the Meta-Analytical Framework of Evaluating Surrogate Endpoints in Clinical Trials
Author(s): Qian Shi*+ and Daniel Sargent
Companies: Mayo Clinic and Mayo Clinic
Address: 200 First Street SW, Rochester, MN, 55905,
Keywords: trial-level surrogacy ; meta-analysis ; clinical trial ; survival analysis
Abstract:

Various meta-analytical approaches have been applied to evaluate putative surrogate endpoints (S) of primary endpoints (T) in multiple diseases. Naive and systematic trial-level surrogacy (TLS) measures were assessed and compared using simulated multi-trial data sets with time-to-event endpoints. Naive TLS assess the association between treatment effects (TE) on S and T, including correlation coefficients and R-square from weighted linear regression. Systematic TLS included trial-level R-square proposed by Burzykowski (2001) which incorporates the measurement errors of TE estimates and Surrogate Threshold Effect (Burzykowski 2006). Factors examined included number of trials, subject-level association between S and T and range of magnitudes of TE. Naive TLS tends to be over-optimistic; and the precision of estimating systematic TLS depends on number of trials available.


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