JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2009 Joint Statistical Meetings in Washington, DC.

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Activity Number: 233
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 3, 2009 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #303983
Title: Evaluation of Early Endpoints for Go-No Go Decisions in Late-Stage Drug Development
Author(s): Linda Sun*+ and Cong Chen
Companies: Merck & Co., Inc. and Merck Research Laboratories
Address: 1258 Jarvis Ln, Lansdale, PA, 19446,
Keywords: Benefit-cost ratio ; Decision analysis ; Expected power ; Oncology
Abstract:

Unlike in a Phase III confirmation trial, endpoints used for a Go-No Go decision from a Phase II proof-of-concept (POC) trial to a Phase III registration trial by a drug developer do not necessarily need to meet the stringent regulatory criteria. Usually these endpoints can be measured earlier than the clinical endpoint, and are therefore called early endpoints in this manuscript. The advancement in bioscience and technology has yielded a number of new biomarkers. Different variables can be derived from each biomarker, making it increasingly difficult for drug developers to decide which endpoints to choose in practice. In this paper, we will provide measures for evaluation of candidate early endpoints.


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