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Activity Number: 593
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 6, 2009 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #303959
Title: Understanding the Size of p-Values
Author(s): Scotland Leman*+
Companies: Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Address: , Blacksburg, VA, 24061,
Keywords: p-values ; bayesian ; likelihood ; decay rate ; fisher ; neyman-pearson
Abstract:

We endeavor into the history of using p-values, both from a Fisherian and Neyman-Pearsonian perspective. We discuss when each perspective is meaningful, and attempt to explain what is implied by the size of the p-value, and how it relates to statistical inferences on hypothesis sets. In an example based on the Normal sampling distribution, we show how p-values behave as a function of both the space of hypotheses and sample size. We conclude by examining the rate at which p-values decrease, as a function of the null hypothesis, and show that its decay rate is exponential, but is variably faster than that of the Likelihood function.


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