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Activity Number: 517
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 5, 2009 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Abstract - #303325
Title: Resource Allocation and Infrastructure Density Around Vulnerable Sites
Author(s): Jeffrey S. Simonoff*+ and Carlos E. Restrepo and Rae Zimmerman and Zvia Naphtali and Henry H. Willis
Companies: New York University and New York University and New York University and New York University and RAND Corporation
Address: 44 West 4th Street, Rm 8-54, New York, NY, 10012-1126,
Keywords: Critical infrastructure ; Density estimation ; Resource allocation ; Terrorist attacks ; Vulnerable sites
Abstract:

Decisionmakers continue to seek risk-based approaches to allocate funds to secure facilities that are potentially vulnerable to terrorist attacks. An important input into decisions about fund allocation is the density of critical infrastructure systems around such facilities, since an attack on a vulnerable facility located near an infrastructure system could disable that system, other infrastructure systems, and the economy. We describe a methodology for measuring the local density of infrastructure around potentially vulnerable sites based on nonparametric density estimators. The California Buffer Zone Protection Program and high hazard dams are used as an example of the methodology. The results show that the methodology provides an input to resource allocation policies that reflects both vulnerable site placement and infrastructure placement relative to those vulnerable sites.


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