JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2009 Joint Statistical Meetings in Washington, DC.

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Activity Number: 396
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 5, 2009 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and Marketing
Abstract - #303048
Title: Bayesian Statistics in Internet Advertising
Author(s): Paul Dagum*+
Companies: MarkMonitor
Address: 303 Second Street Suite 800N, San Francisco, CA, 94107,
Keywords: Internet Advertising ; Bayesian Statistics ; Mixture Models
Abstract:

The internet allows advertisers to target the long-tail of consumer interests in a cost-effective model. The ability for search engines, ad networks, and ad exchanges to monetize the interaction between advertisers and an audience hinges on their ability to measure the audience response. For example, we have previously shown that performance based auctions used for monetization are incentive compatible only if inferences of audience response are unbiased. The disaggregated nature of the long-tail audience and the short half-life of consumer interests make it very difficult to reliably measure that response. At Business.Com we have successfully implemented Bayesian estimation of audience response using conditionally conjugate exponential family priors. We review the methodology and results applied to the Business.Com search site and the RHDi leads-network platform.


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