JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2009 Joint Statistical Meetings in Washington, DC.

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Activity Number: 1
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Sunday, August 2, 2009 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #303036
Title: Impact of Variability in Progression Assessments on Type I and Type II Errors
Author(s): Shenghui Tang and Kun He*+ and Rajeshwari Sridhara and Xiaoping Jiang
Companies: FDA and FDA
Address: CDER/OB/DB5, 10903 New Hampshire Ave., Silver Spring, MD, 20993,
Keywords: Progression-free survival ; Disease progression ; Progression assessment
Abstract:

Progression-free survival defined as the time from randomization to either progression or death, is one of the efficacy endpoints used in evaluating oncology drug products. Disease progression is generally measured using pre-defined criteria at scheduled visits. The frequency and length of schedule visits are designed based on clinical practices and the natural history of disease. In this study we examine the impact on type I and type II errors as well as the estimated treatment effects using simulations when there are differences in (1) the overall length of scheduled assessments, (2) more visits during treatment and fewer visits in the follow-up period, (3) the variability around the scheduled assessment times changes as trial continues, and (4) lengths of visit intervals changes as trial continues. We will examine these in several scenarios from fast growing to slow growing tumors.


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Revised September, 2008