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Activity Number: 448
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 5, 2009 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #303022
Title: Regional Climate, NARCCAP, and Health Impacts
Author(s): Stephan R. Sain*+ and Claudia Tebaldi
Companies: National Center for Atmospheric Research and Climate Central
Address: Geophysical Statistics Project - IMAGe, Boulder, CO, 80307-3000,
Keywords:
Abstract:

The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) is an ambitious multi-agency, multi-institution collaboration to produce regional projections of climate change for North America based on a multi-model ensemble of regional climate models. In this talk, I will describe the NARCCAP experiment and discuss statistical methodology for synthesizing the complex output from the ensemble. In particular, I will present an assessment of the changing number and duration of heat waves and the impact on health endpoints.

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Revised September, 2008