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Activity Number: 541
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Thursday, August 6, 2009 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: WNAR
Abstract - #302911
Title: Parameter Estimation and Model Testing for Markov Processes via Conditional Characteristic Functions
Author(s): Song Xi Chen*+ and Liang Peng and Cindy L. Yu
Companies: Iowa State University and Georgia Tech and Iowa State University
Address: Department of Statistics, Ames , IA, 50011-1210,
Keywords: Conditional characteristic function ; Diffusion Processes ; Empirical likelihood ; L\'evy driven processes
Abstract:

Markov processes are used in a wide range of disciplines including finance. The transitional densities of these processes are often unknown. However, the conditional characteristic functions are more likely to be available especially for Levy driven processes. We propose an empirical likelihood approach for estimation and model specification test based on the conditional characteristic function for processes whose sample paths can be either continuous or discontinuous with jumps. An empirical likelihood estimator for the parameter of a parametric process, and a smoothed empirical likelihood ratio test for the parametric specification of the process are proposed, which are shown to have good theoretical properties and empirical performance. Simulations and empirical case study are carried out to confirm the effectiveness of the estimator and the test.


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