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Activity Number: 510
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 7, 2008 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Survey Research Methods
Abstract - #302312
Title: Robust Predictions Based on Model-Based Approaches
Author(s): Bing Han*+
Companies: RAND Corporation
Address: , , 90401,
Keywords: Residual ; Model-based approach ; Robust prediction
Abstract:

We discuss a robust prediction tool based on the residuals of a model-based approach to survey data. The observed residuals can be used to estimate the error distribution under the i.i.d. assumption. The resulted prediction interval has better accuracy than the asymptotic normal or t prediction interval. We illustrate the potential by the analysis of historical trend of obesity in American young adult from the national health survey BRFSS.


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