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Activity Number: 192
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 4, 2008 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Government Statistics
Abstract - #302294
Title: Estimating Valid Signatures on a Petition: Power To Choose Between W and A Goodman Type
Author(s): Mark E. Eakin*+ and Mary M. Whiteside
Companies: The University of Texas at Arlington and The University of Texas at Arlington
Address: Dep't. of Informations Systems and Operations Mana, Arlington, TX, 76019,
Keywords: Nonlinear ; Sampling ; Replication
Abstract:

To estimate the number of unique valid signatures on a petition, the authors have recently shown that a new non-linear estimator, W, is preferably to the more commonly used Goodman-type estimator provided that a signature's being replicated on the petition is independent of the signature's being invalid for other reasons, such as not a registered voter or wrong address. Through an extensive enumeration, this paper investigates the power of the Chi squared test of independence to determine empirically the preferred estimator for a petition with known levels of petition size, sample size, percent replicated signatures, percent invalid signatures, and degree of association between replicated and otherwise invalid signatures.


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