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Activity Number: 514
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 7, 2008 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistical Computing
Abstract - #302127
Title: Improved Confidence Regions for Seemingly Unrelated Regression Models
Author(s): Kent Riggs*+
Companies: Stephen F. Austin State University
Address: Department Of Mathematics and Statistics, Nacogdoches, TX, 75962-3040,
Keywords: Seemingly Unrelated Regression ; Variance-Covariance Reduction ; Bartlett-type correction
Abstract:

We employ maximum likelihood (ML) methods under the seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) model to derive five new confidence ellipsoids for covariate coefficient vectors of interest. The new confidence ellipsoids include a Bartlett-type corrected percentile on a Wald statistic and a Wald statistic with the confidence coefficient determined by a parametric bootstrap. Lastly, we study the behavior of our new confidence ellipsoids and the ordinary least squares (OLS) ellipsoid in a Monte Carlo simulation that demonstrates the improvement of several new confidence ellipsoids over the OLS method. For the configurations studied in our simulation, we determine that the Wald statistic with a Bartlett-corrected confidence coefficient is preferred in that it has close to nominal coverage and relatively small volume. Finally, we apply two of the new confidence ellipsoids to a real data set.


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