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Activity Number: 192
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 4, 2008 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Government Statistics
Abstract - #301496
Title: SAIPE County Poverty Models Using Data from the American Community Survey
Author(s): David Powers*+ and Wesley Basel and Brett O'Hara
Companies: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Census Bureau
Address: U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, DC, 20233-8500,
Keywords: poverty ; SAIPE ; ACS ; Fay-Herriot ; Census ; small area
Abstract:

The U.S. Census Bureau's Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) program produces model-based estimates of income and poverty using data from Census 2000, the American Community Survey (ACS), administrative records, and intercensal population estimates. This work assesses SAIPE county poverty models under log rate and log count data transformations. Equivalent rate and count models are described as the basis for comparison, which differ only in their corresponding dependent variables. Scale invariance and homoskedasticity are assessed, and "goodness of fit" comparisons are made in terms of root mean square error (RMSE). The estimation results support use of the log count model.


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