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Activity Number:
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135
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Type:
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Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Monday, August 4, 2008 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
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Sponsor:
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Social Statistics Section
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| Abstract - #300852 |
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Title:
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Who (Really) Are the First Boomers?
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Author(s):
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Howard Hogan*+ and Debbie Perez and William R. Bell
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Companies:
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U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Census Bureau
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Address:
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695 Woodland Way, Owings, MD, 20736,
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Keywords:
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births ; time series
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Abstract:
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Much was written when the "first person" born in 1946 applied for social security. Since World War II did not end until August 15, 1945, one might think that the "post war" baby boom could not start much before nine months later, or mid May 1945. This paper looks at the monthly time series of births to determine the start of the Baby Boom. It uses modern series techniques to determine when there was a "break in series" that would constitute the beginning of a boom. It also will examine other data to put the beginning of the boom in context.
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