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Activity Number: 180
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 4, 2008 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Risk Analysis
Abstract - #300796
Title: Low-Dose Extrapolation from Points of Departure or from Model-Averaged Estimates
Author(s): A. John Bailer*+ and Matthew Wheeler
Companies: Miami University and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Address: Dept. of Math. & Stat., Oxford, OH, 45056,
Keywords: risk estimation ; benchmark doses
Abstract:

Experiments with relatively high dose conditions are often used to predict risks at appreciably lower doses. A point of departure can be calculated as the dose associated with a moderate response level (e.g. benchmark dose associated with a benchmark response of 10%). A linear extrapolation to lower doses can then follow. This method is compared to the use of model-averaged predictions in the context of a number of animal bioassay experiments.


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Revised September, 2008