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Activity Number:
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315
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Type:
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Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Tuesday, August 5, 2008 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
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| Abstract - #300702 |
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Title:
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Estimating the Effective Reproduction Numbers of Influenza by Using Surveillance Data
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Author(s):
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Shenghai Zhang*+ and Ping Yan
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Companies:
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Public Health Agency of Canada and Public Health Agency of Canada
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Address:
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Centre for Communicable Diseases and Infectious Control, Ottawa, ON, K1A 0K9, Canada
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Keywords:
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Reproduction number ; influenza ; surveillance
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Abstract:
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It is important to estimate the effective reproduction number of influenza during its grow phase for understanding the propagation of the disease. However, the estimation procedures of the effective reproduction number are usually based on the data generated in flu seasons. The data-generating process of the outbreak of the disease has many features. The data is generated by not only a biological process but also control measures such as flu vaccination. The estimation of the effective reproduction number is discussed by considering the aspects of the data-generating process and using the model to capture the essential characteristics of flu transmission during the grow phase of a flu season.
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