Activity Number:
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519
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Type:
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Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Thursday, August 7, 2008 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
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Sponsor:
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Business and Economics Statistics Section
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Abstract - #300647 |
Title:
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Tolls, Exchange Rates, and Northbound International Bridge Traffic from Ciudad Juarez to El Paso
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Author(s):
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Angel L. Molina, Jr.*+
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Companies:
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The University of Texas at El Paso
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Address:
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500 West University Avenue, El Paso, TX, 79968,
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Keywords:
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Bridge Traffic ; Tolls ; Mexico Border ; Transfer Functions
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Abstract:
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Increased economic activity plus demographic expansion have combined to raise cross-border traffic over the international bridges that connect El Paso, Texas, and Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua, an area commonly referred to as the borderplex. Previous econometric analyses examine southbound international bridge crossings within this region. This effort attempts to partially fill a gap in the existing literature by analyzing the impacts of toll variations and international business cycle fluctuations on northbound international traffic over a 16-year period. Parameter estimation is conducted using a linear transfer function ARIMA methodology. Price elasticities of demand are similar to those reported for other regional economies, but out-of-sample forecasting results are mixed.
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- The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
- Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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