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Activity Number: 369
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 6, 2008 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Abstract - #300485
Title: Numerical Error in ODEs
Author(s): Clyde Martin*+ and Bo He
Companies: Texas Tech University and Texas Tech University
Address: Dept. of Mathematics and Statistics, Lubbock, TX, 79409,
Keywords: differential equations ; numerical error ; switching
Abstract:

An autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) is developed to study the statistical behavior of the numerical error generated from three fourth-order ODE solvers: Milne's method, Adams-Bashforth method and a new method which randomly switches between Milne and Adams-Bashforth methods. With the error data based on four differential equations, we identify an ARIMA model for each data series. Results show that some of data series can be well described by ARIMA models but others can not. Based on the mathematical form of the numerical error, other statistical models should be investigated. Finally we assess the multivariate normality of the sample mean vectors which are generated by the switching method as an application of the multivariate central limit theorem. It is shown that the error for the switching method is well behaved.


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