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Activity Number:
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373
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Type:
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Invited
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Date/Time:
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Wednesday, August 6, 2008 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistics and the Environment
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| Abstract - #300435 |
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Title:
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Democracy vs. Aristocracy in Model Projections for Climate Change
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Author(s):
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Claudia Tebaldi*+
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Companies:
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National Center for Atmospheric Research
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Address:
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, , ,
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Keywords:
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Abstract:
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We present work that has explored the correlation between several statistical summaries of model output for current climate and the models' future behavior in terms of amplitude of future trends and their variability. We also use a perfect model approach to try to get at the same issue---how current climate simulations can tell us something about future simulations' reliability. With this work, we hope to attack the crucial issues of merging models' projections in an informed fashion, while we wait for a time when all models will perform equally well and we will be satisfied with a democratic handling of each model's voting rights.
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- The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
- Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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