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Activity Number: 78
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Monday, August 4, 2008 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
Abstract - #300146
Title: Probability of Detecting Disease-Associated SNPs in Case-Control, Genome-Wide Association Studies
Author(s): Mitchell H. Gail*+ and Ruth Pfeiffer and William Wheeler and David Pee
Companies: National Cancer Institute and National Cancer Institute and Information Management Services and Information Management Services
Address: 6120 Executive Blvd., Bethesda, MD, 20892-7244,
Keywords: genetic association study ; genome-wide association study ; detection probability ; single nucleotide polymorphism ; ranking and selection
Abstract:

Some case-control genome-wide association studies select promising single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) by ranking corresponding p-values. We define the detection probability (DP) for a specific disease-associated SNP as the probability that the SNP will have one of the T smallest p-values for trend tests of association. The proportion positive (PP) is the fraction of selected SNPs that are true disease-associated SNPs. DP increases with genetic effect size and case-control sample size, and decreases with the number of non-disease-associated SNPs. DP increases very slowly with T. For a genetic odds ratio per minor disease allele of 1.2 or less, even a study with 1000 cases and 1000 controls requires T to be impractically large to achieve an acceptable DP and PP. These ideas are also used to minimize the total cost of a research program that follows up on the selected SNPs.


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