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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 154
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, July 30, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #309750
Title: An Additive Model for a Heavily Right-Skewed Outcome
Author(s): Amanda Allshouse*+ and Jianmin Wang and Jasmine Mathias and William Irish
Companies: University of Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences Center and RTI Health Solutions and RTI Health Solutions and RTI Health Solutions
Address: 4200 East Ninth Avenue, C245HSC, Denver, CO, 80262,
Keywords: Cost model ; healthcare cost modeling ; Skewed outcomes ; health econometrics
Abstract:

When estimating and modeling healthcare costs, challenges arise rooted in the heavily right-skewed nature of the distribution of non-zero annual costs. No consensus currently exists regarding the most appropriate method for analyzing heavily right-skewed data bounded at zero. Traditional approaches to this problem include fitting the logarithmic-transformed data with an ordinary least squares regression, resulting in a multiplicative model when an additive interpretation is desired. An additive model to accommodate skewness and heterogeneity has been developed. Heavily right-skewed non-zero data were generated to emulate health-care costs, and the statistical properties of the additive model compared to the traditional approach were evaluated using simulation techniques.


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Revised September, 2007