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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 294
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #309245
Title: Approximations to Continuous Dynamic Processes in Hierarchical Models
Author(s): Amanda R. Cangelosi*+ and Mevin Hooten
Companies: Utah State University and Utah State University
Address: 3900 Old Main Hill, Logan, UT, 84321,
Keywords: Hierarchical models ; Bayesian statistics ; Dynamical processes ; Population dynamics
Abstract:

Modeling nonlinear processes, such as population dynamics, has been given much attention in mathematics. For example, species competition has been extensively modeled by differential equations. It is of both scientific and mathematical interest to utilize such models in a statistical framework. This incorporation allows one to quantify uncertainty associated with random effects, such as demographic and environmental stochasticity, and thus assess the accuracy of deterministic model components. In this pursuit, parameters of the process models are characterized in a Bayesian hierarchical context, using discretizations with varying levels of precision to assess the necessity of higher-order approximations.


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Revised September, 2007