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Activity Number: 544
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 2, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and Marketing
Abstract - #309937
Title: Statistical Aspects of Marketing Mix Models
Author(s): Igor Mandel*+
Companies: Analytic Partners
Address: 1342 Lexington Avenue, New York, NY, 10128,
Keywords: marketing mix models ; regression analysis ; factors selection ; Monte Carlo simulation
Abstract:

The main tool used in marketing mix models is regression analysis. In this specific environment "over-studied" in general regression obtains several features, which are not typically considered in statistical literature in such a combination. These are direct character of influence of some variables to outcome and indirect of others; importance of time decaying effects; high correlation between factors, which should be used together because of economical requirements; desirable maximization of number of factors in a model, as opposite to traditional reductionism; a very big number of possible factors combined with small number of available data points; as a result of previous points, serious difficulties in optimal variables selection. Paper provides some recommendations on these issues with results of Monte-Carlo simulation about validity of regression coefficients.


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Revised September, 2007