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Activity Number: 332
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2007 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Biometrics Section
Abstract - #309591
Title: Estimating the Survivor Average Causal Effect in Nonrandomized Studies Where Treatment Assignment Is Missing for Some Patients
Author(s): Abbie Stokes-Riner*+ and Jason Roy and Sally W. Thurston
Companies: University of Rochester and Geisinger Health System and University of Rochester
Address: Department of Biostatistics, 601 Elmwood Avenue, Rochester, NY, 14642,
Keywords: causal effect ; truncation due to death ; missing data ; Bayesian inference ; posttreatment variable
Abstract:

Evaluating the causal effect of treatment can be complicated when the outcome measurement is truncated due to a post treatment event. For example, obstetricians are interested in the effect of early epidural use on the duration of second stage labor. However, this measurement will not be available if the patient had a cesarean section delivery (C-section). The situation is further complicated when the treatment for some patients is unknown. We take a fully Bayesian approach to (1) adjust for confounding due to non-randomization, and (2) impute missing treatment assignments using auxiliary information. A sensitivity analysis is proposed to account for assumptions whose validity cannot be assessed from the data. The method is applied to obstetric data, to identify the effect of early epidural use on duration of second stage labor.


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Revised September, 2007