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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 209
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, July 30, 2007 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
Abstract - #309589
Title: Comparison of Modeling Approaches to Deriving Normative Values of Bone Mineral Density from NHANES III
Author(s): Qing Wu*+ and John Lefante and Jeanette Magnus and Janet Rice
Companies: Tulane University and Tulane University and Tulane University and Tulane University
Address: , , ,
Keywords: Bone Mineral Density ; NHANES III ; osteoporosis ; Model
Abstract:

Developing accurate normative reference bone mineral density (BMD) values is important to diagnose osteoporosis and prevent fractures. The study aim was to compare linear and polynomial regression models by residual analysis to identify the best model to derive normative BMD values at various skeletal sites using NHANES III. Gender- and race-specific group data analyses were conducted on 9779 aged 20--65 subjects who had no conditions or medication affecting bone metabolisms. Sampling and design effects were addressed using STATA 9.1. The results show that polynomial regression equations provide a significantly better fit than linear equations. These race- and gender- specific polynomial regression models, with their respective lower limits of normal, have the potential to improve diagnostic accuracy for low bone mass and can be use for populations other than postmenopausal women.


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Revised September, 2007