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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 25
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, July 29, 2007 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #309492
Title: Developing Statistical Methods for Setting Specification Limits
Author(s): Michelle Quinlan*+ and Erin Blankenship and Walt Stroup and James Schwenke
Companies: University of Nebraska-Lincoln and University of Nebraska-Lincoln and University of Nebraska-Lincoln and Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Address: 1601 N 35th St, Lincoln, NE, 68503,
Keywords: shelf life ; specification limit ; confidence/prediction interval ; random effect
Abstract:

A product's shelf life can be estimated from the time of first intersection between the specification limit for a stability limiting characteristic of a pharmaceutical product and an agreed upon interval estimate. In addition to defining a shelf life, a specification limit also defines bounds for future batches to confirm a product's shelf life. Any statistical methodology developed to facilitate setting specification limits must provide a reliable estimate of future batches. In addition, when multiple batches are used to support setting specification limits, controversy exists as to whether batches should be considered fixed or random effects. After assessing alternative interval estimate approaches, the goal is to develop multi-batch (fixed/random) extensions and compare the alternatives via simulation to determine which yield interval estimates suitable to shelf life estimation.


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Revised September, 2007