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Activity Number: 407
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economics Statistics Section
Abstract - #308196
Title: On Diagnostic Checking for Mixture Autoregressive Time Series
Author(s): Qin Shao*+
Companies: University of Toledo
Address: Math Dept, Toledo, OH, 43606,
Keywords: BIC ; Empirical cumulative distribution function ; Parametric bootstrap ; Quantile-quantile plot
Abstract:

A diagnostic checking procedure is proposed for mixture autoregressive time series models. The asymptotic property is derived for the empirical cumulative distribution function of the residuals and is used to construct the quantile-quantile plot. The performance of this procedure is studied by simulation. The application is illustrated by two real time series datasets.


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