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Activity Number: 492
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Thursday, August 2, 2007 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Statistical Computing
Abstract - #308123
Title: Bayesian Inference for a Longitudinal Social Network Model
Author(s): Mark S. Handcock*+
Companies: University of Washington
Address: Department of Statistics, Seattle, WA, 98195-4322,
Keywords: random graph models ; stochastic process ; MCMC
Abstract:

In studies of social networks recent emphasis has been placed on random graph models where the nodes represent individual social actors and the edges represent a specified relationship between the actors. Much progress has been made on exponential family models for cross-sectional networks, and some has been made on related models for networks observed longitudinally. A fundamental goal of social network theory is to represent the processes of network formation over time. The theory of balance developed by Heider posits that networks evolve towards structural balance. An alternative theory due to Simmel has the triad as the basic social unit. We develop Bayesian inference for a model that represents the level and dynamics of Heiderian balance and Simmelian stability, and access the empirical support for the two theories. This is joint work with David Krackhardt and Martina Morris.


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Revised September, 2007