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Activity Number:
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228
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Type:
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Invited
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Date/Time:
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Tuesday, July 31, 2007 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
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Sponsor:
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SSC
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| Abstract - #307972 |
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Title:
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Default Priors for Frequentist and Bayesian Inference
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Author(s):
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Donald A.S. Fraser*+
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Companies:
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University of Toronto
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Address:
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100 St. George Street
Dept Statistics, Toronto, ON, M5S 3G3, Canada
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Keywords:
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Bayesian ; frequentist ; default prior ; Marginalization paradoxes
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Abstract:
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A location model has a natural default prior, the constant or flat prior in the location parameter. This gives a posterior interval which has standard coverage properties for a scalar parameter linear in the location coordinates but typically has biased coverage when it is nonlinear in the location components; this is the marginalization paradox of Dawid, Stone and Zidek (1973). For a general model with moderate continuity we develop second order flat priors for full and for component parameters; these provide second order coverage properties, respectively. This focuses the source of the marginalization paradoxes which is parameter curvature; and it shows how coverage bias can be avoided using priors targeted on the interest parameter.
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- The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
- Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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