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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 228
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2007 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: SSC
Abstract - #307972
Title: Default Priors for Frequentist and Bayesian Inference
Author(s): Donald A.S. Fraser*+
Companies: University of Toronto
Address: 100 St. George Street Dept Statistics, Toronto, ON, M5S 3G3, Canada
Keywords: Bayesian ; frequentist ; default prior ; Marginalization paradoxes
Abstract:

A location model has a natural default prior, the constant or flat prior in the location parameter. This gives a posterior interval which has standard coverage properties for a scalar parameter linear in the location coordinates but typically has biased coverage when it is nonlinear in the location components; this is the marginalization paradox of Dawid, Stone and Zidek (1973). For a general model with moderate continuity we develop second order flat priors for full and for component parameters; these provide second order coverage properties, respectively. This focuses the source of the marginalization paradoxes which is parameter curvature; and it shows how coverage bias can be avoided using priors targeted on the interest parameter.


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Revised September, 2007