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Activity Number: 127
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Monday, July 30, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Abstract - #307857
Title: Bayesian Modeling and Surveillance for Adverse MRDD Outcomes Associated with Soil Chemical Exposures
Author(s): Ji-In Kim*+ and Andrew B. Lawson
Companies: University of South Carolina and University of South Carolina
Address: Dept. of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Columbia, SC, 29208,
Keywords: environmental exposure ; logistic ; spatial ; MRDD ; clustering interpolation
Abstract:

The relation between early childhood development and maternal exposures to environmental chemicals during pregnancy is an important issue when considering the residential exposure risk. In this study we examine a range of modeling methods where we have geo-coded residential addresses for mothers during the different months of pregnancy and mental retardation and development delay (MRDD) outcome measures for the babies for a Medicaid population in South Carolina. We also have available measures of soil chemistry (e.g. total microtox EC50) on a network of sites. Our modeling involves interpolation methods for spatially-referenced measures to locations of residence that vary with time. We also develop a logistic spatial model for the MRDD outcome and clustering in that outcome which can be time-dependent or designed to be a function of the cumulative exposure over all addresses resided in.


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Revised September, 2007