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Activity Number: 85
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Monday, July 30, 2007 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: WNAR
Abstract - #307678
Title: Multilist Population Estimation with Incomplete and Partial Stratification
Author(s): Jason M. Sutherland*+
Companies: Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis
Address: 1050 Wishard Blvd. RG 4101, School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN, 46202-2872,
Keywords: Closed population ; EM algorithm ; Log-linear ; Multi-list ; Stratification
Abstract:

Multi-list capture-recapture methods are commonly used to estimate the size of elusive populations. In many situations, lists are stratified by distinguishing features, such as age or sex. Stratification has often been used to reduce biases caused by heterogeneity in the probability of list membership among members of the population; however, it is increasingly common to find lists that are structurally not active in all strata. We develop a general method to deal with cases when not all lists are active in all strata using an EM algorithm. We use a flexible log-linear modeling framework that allows for list dependencies and differential probabilities of ascertainment in each list. The method of estimating population size is applied to two examples.


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Revised September, 2007