JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 220
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2007 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: ENAR
Abstract - #307653
Title: Comparing Two-Stage Treatment Strategies Based on Sequential Failure Times Subject to Interval Censoring
Author(s): Peter F. Thall*+ and Leiko H. Wooten and Nizar M. Tannir and Randall E. Millikan and Christopher J. Logothetis
Companies: The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center and The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center and The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center and The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center and The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center
Address: Dept. of Biostatistics, Box 447, Houston, TX, 77030,
Keywords: Clinical trials ; Dynamic treatment regime ; Interval censoring ; Simulation ; Treatment Policy ; Multi-stage therapy
Abstract:

For many diseases, therapy involves multiple stages, with treatment in each stage chosen based on the patient's current disease status and history of treatments and clinical outcomes. We present a statistical framework for clinical trials comparing two-stage strategies based on time to second disease worsening or discontinuation of therapy. Each patient is randomized among a set of treatments at enrollment. If disease worsening occurs the patient is re-randomized among a set of treatments excluding the treatment given initially. The goal is to select the best two-stage strategy in terms of overall failure time. We present a model accounting for non-constant failure time hazards, regression of second failure time on first worsening time, interval censoring and delay between the two stages of therapy. The method is illustrated by a metastatic renal cancer trial.


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Revised September, 2007