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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 171
Type: Other
Date/Time: Monday, July 30, 2007 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: ASA
Abstract - #310431
Title: Statistical Analysis of an Archeological Find
Author(s): Andrey Feuerverger*+
Companies: University of Toronto
Address: Department of Statistics, Toronto, ON, M6C 1W3,
Keywords:
Abstract:

An interesting data set originating from an archaeological find and the statistical problems associated with it will be described. In 1980 a burial tomb was unearthed in Jerusalem containing ossuaries (limestone coffins) bearing such inscriptions as Yeshua son of Yehosef, Marya, Yoseh---names which match those of New Testament figures, but which were otherwise in common use. We will discuss some of the statistical issues that arise in authenticating or repudiating links between this find and the New Testament family. An approach is proposed---based on `relevance' and `rareness' of names---for assessing the `surprisingness' of the observed outcome. The important role played by historical assumptions will be discussed. Some unresolved statistical questions (both applied and theoretical in nature) encountered during this work will be described.


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Revised September, 2007