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Activity Number: 472
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2007 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economics Statistics Section
Abstract - #310255
Title: Bayesian Wavelet Estimation of Copulas for Dependence Modeling
Author(s): Leming Qu*+
Companies: Boise State University
Address: Department of Mathematics, Boise, ID, 83725-1555,
Keywords: Wavelet ; Bayesian ; Copulas ; MCMC ; Dependence Modeling
Abstract:

Copulas are full measures of dependence among random variables. It is now widely used in financial engineering for modeling high-dimensional problems, such as value-at-risk or portfolio credit risk. A copular's hidden dependence structure that couples a joint distribution with its marginals makes a parametric copular model non-trivial. We propose a nonparametric estimator using wavelet in the Bayesian framework. A mixture prior of a point mass at zero and a normal distribution is imposed on the wavelet coefficients. The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is used for posterior inference. Performances are evaluated on simulated data and on a real dataset.


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Revised September, 2007