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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 247
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2007 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Business and Economics Statistics Section
Abstract - #309951
Title: Comparing Portfolio Credit Risk Methods on Diversification Effect
Author(s): Ming-Chin Hung*+ and Yi-Ping Chang and Huimei Liu
Companies: Soochow University and Soochow University and National Chengchi University
Address: Dept of Business Mathematics, Taipei, 100, Taiwan
Keywords: Credit risk ; One-factor model ; Loss distribution ; Value-at-Risk
Abstract:

One important issue in Basel II is the evaluation of portfolio credit risk. In this paper, we proposed a method to derive the exact loss distribution of a credit portfolio and calculate its value-at-risk (VaR) under one-factor model with various degrees of asset concentration. We also compare the estimated VaRs obtained from Emmer and Tasche (2005) and Basel II with the exact VaR.


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Revised September, 2007