JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

The views expressed here are those of the individual authors
and not necessarily those of the ASA or its board, officers, or staff.



Back to main JSM 2007 Program page




Activity Number: 378
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2007 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #309828
Title: Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Detecting Safety Signals in Clinical Trials
Author(s): Hong A. Xia*+ and Haijun Ma
Companies: Amgen Inc. and Amgen Inc.
Address: One Amgen Ctr Dr, Thousand Oaks, CA, 91320,
Keywords: Bayesian Hierarchical Models ; Clinical Trials ; Drug Safety ; Multiplicity ; Signal Detection
Abstract:

Detection of safety signals from routinely collected adverse event data in clinical trials is a critical task in drug development. How to deal with the multiplicity issue in such a setting is a challenging statistical problem. Without multiplicity considerations, there is a potential for an excess of false positive signals. On the other hand, traditional ways of adjusting for multiplicity may fail to flag important signals too often. Bayesian hierarchical modeling brings some promise. It allows for explicitly modeling AEs with the existing coding structure so that they can borrow strength from each other depending on the actual data. Following the work by Berry and Berry (2004), we implement the Bayesian hierarchical mixed model for subject incidence and extend this model for exposure adjusted incidence or exposure adjusted event rate, using drug exposure time between patients.


  • The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
  • Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2007 program

JSM 2007 For information, contact jsm@amstat.org or phone (888) 231-3473. If you have questions about the Continuing Education program, please contact the Education Department.
Revised September, 2007