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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 378
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2007 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #309526
Title: Bayesian Spines To Infer Population Mean and Tolerance Region from Multivariate Longitudinal Data
Author(s): Qianqiu Li and Yonggang Zhao*+
Companies: Wyeth and Wyeth
Address: 500 Arcola Rd, Collegeville, PA, 19426,
Keywords: bayesian ; confidence region ; tolerance region ; MCMC ; longitudinal data ; splines
Abstract:

Spine models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal data. In this talk, we propose a high-dimensional spline model in mixed model framework to address two common issues arising in clinical safety studies: population mean inference and tolerance region construction for screening of individuals with unusual responses, based on multivariate longitudinal data. Bayesian analysis through MCMC samplers is employed for estimation and inference. Using multivariate central limit theorem and Monte Carlo technique, we obtain approximate confidence and tolerance regions through time.


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Revised September, 2007