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Activity Number: 275
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: IMS
Abstract - #309417
Title: Spline-Backfitted Kernel Smoothing of Additive Models in Time Series
Author(s): Li Wang*+ and Lijian Yang
Companies: Michigan State University and Michigan State University
Address: Department of Statistics and Probability, East Lansing, MI, 48824-1027,
Keywords: Bandwidths ; B-spline ; knots ; Nadaraya-Watson estimator ; nonparametric regression
Abstract:

Application of non- and semi parametric regression techniques to high- dimensional time series data have been hampered due to the lack of effective tools to address the 'curse of dimensionality'. Under rather weak conditions, we propose a spline-backfitted kernel estimator of the component functions for the nonlinear additive time series data that is both computationally expedient so it is usable for analyzing very high dimensional time series, and theoretically reliable so inference can be made on the component functions with confidence. Simulation experiments have provided strong evidence that corroborates with the asymptotic theory. Finally, the estimation procedure has been illustrated by a US unemployment rate example.


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Revised September, 2007